This reply does not answer your specific question on how to forecast the next event, However, if you want to characterize the trend of these discrete events, consider
the LaPlace Test. Near the bottom of the website named "KSC Reliability" is a one-page write up. I have used the score from the LaPlace Test to emulate likelihood of occurrence (along with the quantity and consequence of the past events) in a risk measure for recorded and undesired events (e.g., problem reports). Tim Adams
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Tim Adams ASQ CRE
Reliability & Risk, Senior Engineer
Nasa Kennedy Space Center
Kennedy Space Center FL
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Original Message:
Sent: 04-18-2019 02:09 AM
From: Srihari R
Subject: Weibull analysis
Dear Sirs,
We are having the data on near misses and incidents happening at different locations in our facility over a period of time. Can Weibull analysis be used for predicting the probability of the most accident prone area? Then concentrated efforts can be put on those areas to reduce risk. Would be good if an example is shared.
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Srihari R ramasubramanian.srihari@gmail.com
Original Message:
Sent: 01-31-2019 08:45 AM
From: Krishnan Shrikanth
Subject: Weibull analysis
I am looking for an overview presentation around Weibull concepts and also any tool we can start to use to do the analysis.
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Krishnan Shrikanth
CMRP
SINGAPORE
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